San Luis vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: San Luis vs Toluca

San Luis host Toluca in this Liga MX meeting at Estadio Alfonso Lastras, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Get the Best Value By Backing Toluca

If you concur with our viewpoint that Toluca can beat San Luis, there is the opportunity to land a price of 1.97 that this happens. We think that the odds stand out on the Full-Time Result market.

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Toluca Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Atlético San Luis have lost back-to-back league games at home. In their last Liga MX encounter, it was a 3-2 road loss against Querétaro at Estadio La Corregidora. Los Atléticos had most of the ball recording 62% possession and three shots on target, with Joao Pedro scoring both goals.

Deportivo Toluca were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Estadio Azteca. Cruz Azul claimed a 1-0 victory. Antonio Mohamed's side had 46% possession and totalled one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have five consecutive victories against San Luis. Their last clash saw Toluca leave Estadio Alfonso Lastras with a 1-0 win. The past 10 H2H meetings have included seven victories for Toluca, two wins for San Luis and a single draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Toluca	7	4	1	2	16	10	6	16:10	13
13	San Luis	7	2	0	5	10	13	-3	10:13	6

View Full Table

San Luis have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. Guillermo Abascal's side have averaged 51.3% possession and 5.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.5 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Joao Pedro is the top goalscorer with 6, Roman Torres has 2, with Eduardo Aguila and two other players on 1. Sebastien Lamonge has recorded the most assists with 2.

Deportivo Toluca have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.9 goals from 11.1 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 50.8% possession, 4.5 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 7.5 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Paulinho, Helinho and Alexis Vega are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Jesus Angulo is on 2. Alexis Vega has been top assists provider with 5 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

San Luis confirmed lineup (4-3-1-2): Andres Sanchez (GK), Roman Torres, Juanpe, Eduardo Aguila, Aldo Cruz, Rodrigo Dourado, Luis Najera, Sebastien Lamonge, Mateo Klimowicz, Joao Pedro, Yan Phillipe.

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Santiago Simon, Federico Pereira, Bruno Mendez, Jesus Gallardo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Jesus Angulo, Nicolas Castro, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

San Luis vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into San Luis vs Toluca with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s hard to resist the chance to wager Toluca on the basis that they’re 1.97 to record a Liga MX win. We’ll go for this bet confidently considering that the latest information suggest that a victory is on the cards.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Liga MX data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key San Luis vs Toluca league stats:

• Toluca have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• San Luis have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• San Luis have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• San Luis have lost their last 2 games at home.
• San Luis have lost their last 5 games against Toluca.

Toluca to Win Probability

The best betting sites make it a 50.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to boost the price for Toluca to win on the Full-Time Result market, you might contemplate the Bet Builder option and combine this selection with other possible outcomes.

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Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ 1.97 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

San Luis 1 - 2 Toluca

Toluca are available to back at 8.00 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alexis Vega Over 0.5 Shots On Target 1.64

Alexis Vega (Toluca) can be backed to have a minimum of one shot on goal at 1.64. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

2.70

First

0.00

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

1.64

Under 0.5

2.00

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Jesús Gallardo to Score 6.50

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has managed two goals in his past eight Liga MX matches on the road. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the 6.50 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

6.50

First

0.00

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

3.30

Under 0.5

1.23

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Corners Prediction

San Luis Over 4.5 Corners 1.75

4 of the past 5 San Luis games have seen them cover the 4.5 corners line, with Toluca conceding over 4.5 corners in their previous three away matches. We’re going to select the Overs for San Luis Team Corners, with this line making appeal and you can secure odds of 1.75.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

San Luis

Total

11.00 5.80 5.20

Home

9.20 5.00 4.20

Away

11.90 5.50 6.40

Toluca

Total

8.40 4.50 3.90

Home

7.20 4.30 2.90

Away

10.40 5.00 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

1.65

Under 9.5

2.02

San Luis Corners

Over 4.5

1.91

Under 4.5

1.80

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

1.67

Under 4.5

2.10

Most Corners

1

2.43

X

7.50

2

1.75

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San Luis vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Toluca Victory

The bookies have Deportivo Toluca at 1.80 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 56% likely to win this Liga MX encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Atlético San Luis are available at 3.85.

Toluca are 1.83 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on San Luis +0.5 at 1.97, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at 1.56.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Liga MX games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

3.85

X

3.80

2

1.80

Half-Time Result

1

4.00

X

2.38

2

2.28

Double Chance

1X

1.84

12

1.21

X2

1.21

Draw No Bet

1

2.80

2

1.38

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

1.97

2 Hcp -0.5

1.83

Total Goals

Under 2.5

2.25

Over 2.5

1.58

Both Teams to Score

Yes

1.56

No

2.23

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

2.28

João Galvão (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

2.50

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

2.70

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

4.30

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

4.40

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

5.00

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

5.75

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

6.00

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

6.00

Benjamín Galdames (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

6.10

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

6.50

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

7.00

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

7.00

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

8.50

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

8.50

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

9.00

Julio Domínguez (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

9.00

Daniel Guillén (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

9.50

Eduardo Aguila (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

11.00

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

12.00

Aldo Cruz (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

13.00

Gabriel Martínez (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

13.00

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

First

-

Anytime

14.00

Juanpe Ramírez (San Luis)

First

-

Anytime

23.00

João Galvão (San Luis)

Over 0.5

1.38

Under 0.5

2.43

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

1.64

Under 0.5

2.00

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

1.96

Under 0.5

1.60

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

2.35

Under 0.5

1.46

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

2.38

Under 1.5

1.40

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

2.75

Under 0.5

1.34

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

2.90

Under 0.5

1.30

Benjamín Galdames (San Luis)

Over 0.5

3.00

Under 0.5

1.25

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

3.20

Under 0.5

1.25

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

3.30

Under 0.5

1.23

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

3.45

Under 0.5

1.22

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

3.55

Under 0.5

1.20

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

3.60

Under 0.5

1.20

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

4.10

Under 0.5

1.14

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

Over 0.5

4.10

Under 0.5

1.14

Julio Domínguez (San Luis)

Over 0.5

4.10

Under 0.5

1.15

Daniel Guillén (San Luis)

Over 0.5

4.30

Under 0.5

1.13

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

Over 0.5

4.40

Under 0.5

1.13

Eduardo Aguila (San Luis)

Over 0.5

4.80

Under 0.5

1.10

Gabriel Martínez (San Luis)

Over 0.5

5.00

Under 0.5

1.09

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

Over 0.5

5.60

Under 0.5

1.08

Aldo Cruz (San Luis)

Over 0.5

5.75

Under 0.5

1.08

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

6.50

Under 0.5

1.06

Juanpe Ramírez (San Luis)

Over 0.5

9.50

Under 0.5

1.03

Six of Previous Ten San Luis Home Clashes Have Ended in Defeat

San Luis have managed six losses and four victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Toluca have collected five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Toluca were 1-0 victors against San Luis last time out at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. In the previous 5 H2H meetings at Estadio Alfonso Lastras, we have seen three Toluca triumphs, one San Luis win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
San Luis Home Stats		4-0-6	2.70	1.20	1.50	7	3	6	4
Toluca Away Stats		5-2-3	2.80	1.60	1.20	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

San Luis vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the San Luis vs Toluca team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups alongside the newest injury information.

San Luis Team Page Toluca Team Page