Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Sep 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

League leaders Middlesbrough host third-placed Stoke in this Championship clash at Riverside Stadium, with kick-off set for 02:45 on Wednesday 1 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

A Tight Game In Store

Middlesbrough and Stoke may not score many goals between them and that means we will wager on Under 2.5. This Total Goals pick could be the best plan of action and you can secure a price of 1.80.

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Boro Won Previous H2H Clash

Middlesbrough played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at St. Mary's against Southampton. Rob Edwards' team had one shot on target and 45% possession, with Kaly Sene registering the goal.

Stoke City drew their previous game which was at home. The action at bet365 Stadium ended 1-1 against Norwich City. The Potters had six shots on goal and recorded 58% possession, while Sorba Thomas found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough have triumphed in the last two encounters against Stoke. The most recent was a 3-1 away win at bet365 Stadium after a 2-0 home victory at Riverside Stadium. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H matches feature four Middlesbrough wins, three draws and three Stoke triumphs.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Middlesbrough	7	5	2	0	12	5	7	12:5	17
3	Stoke	7	4	1	2	10	5	5	10:5	13

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Middlesbrough have had 50.6% possession and 5.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

The three top scorers are Kaly Sene, Tommy Conway and Finn Azaz, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Leading assistor is Hayden Hackney with 3.

Stoke have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 50.6% possession, 5.7 corners taken and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Sorba Thomas has top scored with 3, while Lewis Baker, Million Manhoef and Divin Mubama are next on 2. Sorba Thomas is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Solomon Brynn (GK), Luke Ayling, George Edmundson, Alfie Jones, Alan Browne, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Matt Targett, Sverre Halseth Nypan, Tommy Conway, David Strelec.

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Viktor Johansson (GK), Ashley Phillips, Sorba Thomas, Ben Wilmot, Eric Bocat, Bosun Lawal, Tatsuki Seko, Ben Pearson, Joon-Ho Bae, Robert Bozenik, Lamine Cisse.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Middlesbrough vs Stoke bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 for this Championship clash. This bet offers us the chance to take odds of 1.80 and we think a return could definitely be on the cards.

Our Championship experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Middlesbrough vs Stoke league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Middlesbrough games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Middlesbrough games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Stoke games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

A larger price can be obtained by selecting a different bet where Under 2.5 Goals is combined with BTTS No. This wager requires at least one team to fail to score in order for the bet to land.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Stoke

Middlesbrough can be backed at 6.75 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Middlesbrough Under 5.5 Corners 

Middlesbrough have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in five consecutive matches, with Stoke conceding under 5.5 corners in their past four games. The Middlesbrough Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of 1.96.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Middlesbrough

Total

10.10 5.50 4.60

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Stoke

Total

9.70 5.70 4.00

Home

8.70 5.20 3.50

Away

9.50 4.70 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Middlesbrough Corners

Stoke Corners

Most Corners

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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Boro Favourites to Win According to Bookies

The favourites have a 54% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Middlesbrough chalked up at 1.85 to land a win in this Championship clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get 4.10 about Stoke City.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Middlesbrough are 1.86 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Stoke +0.5 at 1.94 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

You’re able to bet on Under 2.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at 1.79 on the Both Teams to Score market.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Championship match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Tommy Conway Heads First Goalscorer Market

There’s the chance to back Tommy Conway at 5.00 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Middlesbrough Proving Hard to Beat at Home

Middlesbrough have collected seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Stoke have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the teams previously met at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough defeated Stoke 2-0. The previous 8 H2H meetings at Riverside Stadium have included five wins for Middlesbrough, two triumphs for Stoke and a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Middlesbrough Home Stats		7-1-2	2.00	1.10	0.90	5	5	4	6
Stoke Away Stats		3-2-5	2.80	1.10	1.70	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Middlesbrough vs Stoke team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and injury news right here.

Middlesbrough Team Page Stoke City Team Page