Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 23 Jul 2025

Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Alianza Lima

Grêmio host Alianza Lima in the second leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Thursday 24 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Go For Under 2.5 Goals With Confidence

The best strategy could be to back Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market at a price of 1.94. This looks like a standout wager, with Grêmio and Alianza Lima set to contest a low-scoring contest.

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Alianza Claimed 2-0 Victory in First Leg

Grêmio played Vasco da Gama on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 Série A draw. Mano Menezes' team had just 36% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Gustavo Martins getting the goal.

Alianza Lima lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 Liga 1 defeat against Cusco.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alianza Lima won 2-0 when hosting Gremio in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie. Alianza enjoyed 57% possession and won the shots on target 8-3, with Gaspar Gentile and Erick Castillo on the scoresheet.

Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Grêmio vs Alianza Lima betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We don’t think the teams will combine to score three or more in this Copa Sudamericana clash. Therefore, we’ll wager on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently available at odds of 1.94.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Copa Sudamericana team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 9 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Grêmio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Alianza games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Alianza games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Alianza games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

One alternative option is to combine Under 2.5 Goals with other picks if you want a bigger price. A Bet Builder provides lots of flexibility and allows you to combine different selections.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.94 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 2 - 0 Alianza

Grêmio are available to back at 6.75 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Martin Braithwaite to Score 2.38

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio) has found the net in his past two games on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of 2.38.

Latest Martin Braithwaite Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

2.35

First

4.60

Shots

Over 4.5

2.15

Under 4.5

-

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Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Grêmio Victory

The bookies have Grêmio as 1.54 favourites for this Copa Sudamericana clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 65% likely to win. At 5.75, Alianza Lima are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Grêmio -1 on the Asian Handicap means getting 1.98 that they beat Alianza by two or more goals. It also means you will get your full stake refunded if they win by one.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Copa Sudamericana matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

1.54

X

4.00

2

5.75

Half-Time Result

1

2.07

X

2.40

2

5.60

Double Chance

1X

1.13

12

1.21

X2

2.28

Draw No Bet

1

1.21

2

3.95

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

1.98

2 Hcp +1

1.79

Total Goals

Under 2.5

1.93

Over 2.5

1.79

Both Teams to Score

Yes

1.84

No

1.87

Martin Braithwaite Favourite to Find the Net First

Martin Braithwaite is the First Goalscorer favourite at 4.60 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at 2.35.

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

4.60

Anytime

2.35

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

5.80

Anytime

3.20

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

7.50

Anytime

3.95

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

7.00

Anytime

4.10

Nathan Allan de Souza (Grêmio)

First

7.50

Anytime

4.10

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

8.50

Anytime

4.20

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

8.00

Anytime

4.35

Paolo Guerrero (Alianza)

First

9.50

Anytime

4.50

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

10.00

Anytime

4.75

Hernan Barcos (Alianza)

First

10.00

Anytime

4.90

Kevin Quevedo (Alianza)

First

12.50

Anytime

5.60

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

12.50

Anytime

5.60

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

13.00

Anytime

6.40

Matías Succar (Alianza)

First

14.00

Anytime

6.75

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

15.00

Anytime

6.75

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

15.00

Anytime

7.50

Alan Cantero (Alianza)

First

15.00

Anytime

7.50

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

First

16.00

Anytime

7.50

Pablo Ceppelini (Alianza)

First

16.00

Anytime

7.50

Ronald Cardoso Falkoski (Grêmio)

First

16.00

Anytime

8.00

Pablo Lavandeira (Alianza)

First

17.00

Anytime

8.00

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

First

19.00

Anytime

8.50

Fernando Gaibor (Alianza)

First

20.00

Anytime

9.00

Lucas Esteves (Grêmio)

First

23.00

Anytime

10.50

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 4.5

2.15

Under 4.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

1.66

Under 2.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

1.93

Under 2.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

2.07

Under 2.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

2.23

Under 2.5

-

Alan Cantero (Alianza)

Over 1.5

2.43

Under 1.5

-

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

2.40

Under 1.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

2.48

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Quevedo (Alianza)

Over 1.5

1.98

Under 1.5

-

Hernan Barcos (Alianza)

Over 1.5

1.84

Under 1.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

2.17

Under 1.5

-

Paolo Guerrero (Alianza)

Over 1.5

1.66

Under 1.5

-

Nathan Allan de Souza (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

1.55

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

1.50

Under 1.5

-

Matías Succar (Alianza)

Over 0.5

1.42

Under 0.5

-

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.45

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Ceppelini (Alianza)

Over 0.5

1.50

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Lavandeira (Alianza)

Over 0.5

1.57

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

1.56

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Gaibor (Alianza)

Over 0.5

1.42

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Grêmio Stats

Alianza Lima Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

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Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Grêmio vs Alianza team news before betting. We’ll bring the confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups to you alongside the newest injury reports.