Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Liberty

The Mercury lock horns with the Liberty in this WNBA matchup at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 08:00 on Thursday 18 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Liberty Might Prove Too Strong

We’re eager to back the Liberty to get the better of the Mercury and that leads us to the Moneyline for our prediction. It’s difficult to turn down the 1.68 that they claim the win.

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Last H2H Saw Liberty Triumph in Overtime

The last meeting between New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury was on Sunday, with Liberty landing a 76-69 (OT) victory. The Liberty have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty betting preview covers it all.

Game Prediction

The value bet could involve heading to the Moneyline where you can back Liberty to win this WNBA game. Our pick is currently on offer at an attractive 1.68.

The handicappers at jeetbetwin.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key WNBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.

Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:

• Liberty have won 4 consecutive games.
• Liberty have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Mercury have lost their last 4 games.
• Liberty have won 6 of their last 10 games against Mercury.

Liberty Moneyline Probability

The odds at the top basketball sportsbooks suggest our pick has a 59.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

The Liberty are available at a range of odds on the spread. If you are looking for more juice, then check out the latest betting lines and choose from the available spreads.

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Best Bet

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Player Prop Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 76 - 78 Liberty

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Liberty to land a 78-76 win. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Liberty Victory

New York Liberty are regarded as having a 69% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at 1.45. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get 2.76 about Phoenix Mercury.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 159.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 159.5 can find odds of 1.91 available.

No matter if you're betting before the tip-off or during the live women's hoops action, the top basketball sportsbooks have you covered with countless game lines and team props. It’s a major advantage to have such a deep pool of options at your fingertips.

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of scoring most points, favorite Sabrina Ionescu is available at 1.90 to rack up Over 17.5 points. If you want to go Under, then 1.86 is available.

Micro Betting

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 168.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 86.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W