Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Jul 2025

We’re Backing the Underdogs Against The Spread

The Sparks can give a good account of themselves against the Liberty. They can prevent a big loss and there is 1.89 available that the underdogs cover the +11.5 spread.

9 Wins for Liberty in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Los Angeles Sparks got the win in their previous game. A 101-86 triumph occurred on the road at Mohegan Sun Arena when playing Connecticut Sun.

New York Liberty were winners last time out. It was a 89-76 home victory against Phoenix Mercury at Barclays Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Liberty won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 89-79 triumph when facing the Sparks at Barclays Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Liberty winning nine times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L

View Full Standings

Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

Sparks look capable of avoiding a big loss in this WNBA matchup and that leads us to back the underdogs against the spread. We really like this pick and you can get +11.5 which is available at 1.89.

Our team of expert WNBA handicappers monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Sparks vs Liberty stats:

• The +11.5 line has been covered by Sparks in 10 consecutive games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Sparks in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 2 consecutive games against Sparks.

Sparks +11.5 Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are several options available including selling points. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

Best Bet

Sparks +11.5 @ 1.89 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Dearica Hamby Under 3.5 Assists 1.68

Dearica Hamby (Sparks) can be backed to have Under 3.5 assists at 1.68. We can feel confident that she might fall short on the Player Assists front as the total looks too high.

Latest Dearica Hamby Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

1.74

Under 15.5

2.04

Assists

Over 3.5

2.24

Under 3.5

1.62

Rebounds

Over 8.5

1.97

Under 8.5

1.80

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Azurá Stevens Over 8.5 Rebounds 1.89

Azurá Stevens (Sparks) can be backed to finish with Over 8.5 rebounds at 1.89. We think that the value can be found by betting on Player Rebounds and we’re expecting her to go over the line.

Latest Azurá Stevens Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

1.95

Under 13.5

1.81

Rebounds

Over 8.5

2.02

Under 8.5

1.76

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Correct Score Prediction

Sparks 81 - 89 Liberty

Rather than betting on the Liberty to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 89-81 victory in their favor.

Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Liberty Win on the Cards According to the Books

According to the Moneyline betting odds, New York Liberty are red-hot 1.15 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 87% chance of winning this WNBA game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get 5.40 about Los Angeles Sparks.

The spread is currently 11, with the total points line at 175.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to bet Under 175.5, there are odds of 1.93.

The best betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most women's basketball matchups. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Sparks

5.40

Liberty

1.15

Point Spread

Sparks +11

1.91

Liberty -11

1.91

Total Points

Under 175.5

1.93

Over 175.5

1.89

Breanna Stewart Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Breanna Stewart. Odds of 1.80 can be found for her scoring Over 18.5 points and there is 1.97 for her to go Under.

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 18.5

1.80

Under 18.5

1.97

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

1.90

Under 18.5

1.86

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 17.5

1.88

Under 17.5

1.88

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 15.5

1.74

Under 15.5

2.04

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 13.5

1.87

Under 13.5

1.89

Azurá Stevens (Sparks)

Over 13.5

1.95

Under 13.5

1.81

Rickea Jackson (Sparks)

Over 13.5

2.00

Under 13.5

1.77

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 10.5

2.00

Under 10.5

1.77

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 9.5

1.95

Under 9.5

1.81

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 6.5

2.26

Under 6.5

1.61

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 5.5

2.06

Under 5.5

1.73

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 5.5

2.12

Under 5.5

1.69

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

1.63

Under 3.5

2.22

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 3.5

2.24

Under 3.5

1.62

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 8.5

1.97

Under 8.5

1.80

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

1.73

Under 8.5

2.06

Azurá Stevens (Sparks)

Over 8.5

2.02

Under 8.5

1.76

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 6.5

1.84

Under 6.5

1.92

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

2.18

Under 4.5

1.65

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 4.5

2.07

Under 4.5

1.72

Rickea Jackson (Sparks)

Over 3.5

2.00

Under 3.5

1.77

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

2.28

Under 3.5

1.60

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 2.5

1.62

Under 2.5

2.23

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Sparks Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 176.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 173.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 175.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.10 pts and allowed 87.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.70 pts and allowed 87.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 175.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.20 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L