Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Aug 2025

By Kevin Collins, WNBA Analyst | Published: 14 hours ago | Last Updated: Aug 29, 04:37 | 4 min read
Chicago Sky
Basketball WNBA PHX Arena Fri 29 Aug 10:00
Phoenix Mercury
  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

WNBA Betting Preview: Sky vs Mercury

The Sky face off against the Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 on Friday 29 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Few Points Expected

The Unders looks the way to go when the Sky meet the Mercury. The line looks too high at 164 and odds of 1.91 could favor bettors who go below that total.

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7 Triumphs for Mercury in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Chicago Sky were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Las Vegas Aces by a 79-74 scoreline at Wintrust Arena.

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 92-84 at Crypto.com Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 83-67 triumph when facing the Sky at Wintrust Arena. The Mercury have racked up six straight victories over the Sky. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
4  Mercury 23 14 3077 2963 114 12-6 11-8 2W
12  Sky 9 28 2809 3191 -382 5-15 4-13 2L
View Full Standings

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Our Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 164 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this WNBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and 1.91 can be backed.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the WNBA form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Sky vs Mercury stats:

  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sky games.
  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Sky games.
  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mercury games at home.
  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Mercury games.

Under 164 Probability

According to the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

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Best Bet

Under 164 Points @ 1.91 Bet Now bet365 logo
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Published 14:52, 28 August 2025

Player Prop Picks

Angel Reese Over 3.5 Assists 1.88 bet365 logo

Angel Reese (Sky) can be wagered to register Over 3.5 assists at 1.88. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.

Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds

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Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Assists 2.12 bet365 logo

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to finish with Under 9.5 assists at 2.12. There’s no reason to oppose our instinct, so we’ll bet on her failing to cover the Player Assists total here.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 164
Spread Mercury -12
Player Assists Angel Reese Over 3.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 164. We’ve also gone for Mercury -12 and Angel Reese (Sky) to get Over 3.5 assists.

A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

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Correct Score Prediction

Sky Sky logo 73 - 87 Mercury logo Mercury

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Mercury to enjoy a 87-73 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of 1.12 about Phoenix Mercury which reflects they have a 89% chance of winning this WNBA game. Chicago Sky are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at 6.20.

The current spread is 12 and total points is 164. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Under 164, then the odds are 1.94.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Kahleah Copper Favorite to Score the Most Points

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of 1.83 can be found for her scoring Over 16.5 points and there is 1.93 for her to go Under.

Player Points
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)
Over 16.5
1.83
Under 16.5
1.93
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 16.5
1.95
Under 16.5
1.81
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 14.5
2.00
Under 14.5
1.77
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Player Assists
Player Rebounds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 9.5
1.78
Under 9.5
1.99
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Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)
Over 9.5
2.20
Under 9.5
1.64
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 5.5
2.07
Under 5.5
1.72
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Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Sky logo Chicago Sky Stats
Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
1  Lynx 30 7 3209 2834 375 18-1 12-6 2W
2  Aces 26 14 3308 3263 45 14-5 12-9 12W
3  Dream 24 14 3154 2930 224 12-6 12-8 1L
4  Mercury 23 14 3077 2963 114 12-6 11-8 2W
5  Liberty 23 15 3253 3097 156 15-5 8-10 1W
6  Fever 20 18 3242 3137 105 11-9 9-9 1W
7  Valkyries 19 18 2898 2872 26 10-7 9-11 1W
8  Storm 20 19 3207 3128 79 8-10 12-9 1L
9  Sparks 17 19 3108 3190 -82 7-11 10-8 1L
10  Mystics 16 22 2991 3076 -85 10-10 6-12 4L
11  Sun 10 28 2906 3248 -342 6-12 4-16 1W
12  Sky 9 28 2809 3191 -382 5-15 4-13 2L
13  Wings 9 30 3191 3424 -233 5-16 4-14 6L
WNBA Predictions
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